Why BitMart and BitMEX Shutdowns Have Analysts Calling a Bottom

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Three centralized crypto exchanges — AscendEX (stopped operating July 1), BitMEX and BitMart — shut or began winding down this month, with BitMart winding down days after BitMEX’s exit. Analysts say the closures reflect a broken extraction business model, failed financing or sale, market conditions and tighter regulation (MiCA), and view the shakeout as a constructive reset that could consolidate liquidity among licensed exchanges and draw institutional capital, though macro and liquidity risks mean a definitive bottom is not guaranteed.
In Brief
- Three exchanges shut this month, and analysts are calling it a bottom.
- Moonrock Capital's Simon Dedic said the extraction model ran out of new users.
- BitMEX and BitMart cited strategy and market conditions, not financial failure.
The BitMart and BitMEX shutdowns have drawn bullish reactions, with analysts calling the closures a healthy reset.
BitMart began winding down on Sunday, three days after BitMEX confirmed its own exit. AscendEX closed on July 1, bringing the total number of exchange closures this month to 3.
How Analysts Read the BitMart and BitMEX Shutdowns
Moonrock Capital founder and managing partner Simon Dedic argued that the recent closures of several centralised crypto exchanges reflect deeper flaws in the industry’s business model.
“The extraction model has a fatal flaw: it needs a steady supply of victims. When those dry up, so does the business. One of the underrated perks of a brutal bear: the market is actually healing,” he noted.
Ran Neuner, CEO of Crypto Banter, made a cycle-timing argument instead. According to him,
“Bottoming is a process. It’s a process where the market consolidates and the fittest survive… The next cycle will be dominated by licensed exchanges and institutional capital.”
Neuner also argued that a smaller market would amplify any returning liquidity. That thesis depends on licensing regimes arriving.
Meanwhile, crypto analyst StarPlatinum said the recent closures of BitMEX and BitMart could mark the beginning of a broader shakeout among centralised exchanges.
He attributed the trend to the prolonged bear market, fading retail interest in altcoins, lower futures trading volumes, tighter regulation, and unsustainable operating costs.
While he said the industry-wide purge is necessary to remove weaker players, he warned it could also lead to greater market concentration and fewer dominant exchanges.
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2 major exchanges announced shutdown this week. BitMex & Bitmart. Exchanges collapsing/shutting down usually marks the bottom of the $BTC bear market. pic.twitter.com/8O1sOOcb0P
— BitcoinHabebe (@Bitcoinhabebe) July 26, 2026
BitMart and BitMEX both cited market conditions and strategy as the reason for winding down. Neither described a financial failure. Still, analysts have flagged lost market share and a failed sale as the reasons behind BitMEX’s exit.
AscendEX announced on July 6 that it had stopped operating on July 1. It pointed to the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) rules, a failed financing deal, and market pressure.
While analysts see the exchange shakeout as a constructive long-term development, it is not definitive evidence that the market has bottomed. Macro conditions, liquidity, regulation, and investor demand will continue to play a much larger role in shaping crypto’s next cycle.
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