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Category Polymarket
U.S. Recession Odds Surge in Prediction Markets on Tariff Shock. What Next for BTC?
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in an over-50% chance of a U.S. recession this year.
Apr, 03, 2025
by CoinDesk
Polymarket, UMA Communities Lock Horns After $7M Ukraine Bet Resolves
The bet was resolved as 'yes' despite no official agreement, leading to suspicions of manipulation by a large UMA token holder, but Polymarket defe...
Mar, 27, 2025
by CoinDesk
Polymarket Suffers UMA Governance Attack After Rouge Actor Becomes Top-5 Token Staker
BornTooLate.Eth has accumulated over 1.3 million UMA tokens to attack a Ukraine-themed market — but nobody has appeared to have made much money.
Mar, 26, 2025
by CoinDesk
Polymarket is 90% Accurate in Predicting World Events: Research
Research shows that Polymarket is 90% accurate in predicting how events will occur one month out, and 94% four hours before the event occurs.
Mar, 21, 2025
by CoinDesk
Trump's CFTC Head Slams Prediction Markets Resistance Under Predecessor
Caroline Pham, the agency's acting chairman, is scheduling an experts roundtable to reset the CFTC's course on this "sinkhole of legal uncertainty."
Feb, 05, 2025
by CoinDesk