Wall Street Expert Warns of 35% Stock Crash Amid US-Iran War
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Ed Yardeni warns of a 35% chance of a U.S. stock-market crash for the rest of 2026 amid escalating U.S.–Iran war (reported March 9); he cut rally odds to 5% from 20% and oil topped $100/barrel. - Market expectations for a Fed rate cut shifted from July to September, with some now betting no cut in 2026, raising inflation and growth risk that could pressure risk assets. - Crypto-specific impact: crypto-associated equities and miners are vulnerable—Core Scientific sold BTC and its CORZ stock plunged as firms pivot strategies; highlights risks for crypto adoption, security of exposures across CEX/DEX and broader DeFi ecosystems.
Predictions Markets
See what traders are focused on
- A lot of crypto-associated firms have started to pivot from their strategies at the time of tensions.
- Before the war initiated, traders had completely priced in a move by July.
Ed Yardeni, an expert from Wall Street, has predicted another 35% crash in U.S. stocks, comprising crypto-associated equities. This comes at the time of surging tensions between the U.S. and Iran as the war carries on to surge.
The expert predicted the chances of a stock market crash to 35% for the rest of the year. In the beginning it showed about a 20% fall, but he has now changed his views, seeing the market sentiment.
Meanwhile, he cut the odds of a rally influence more by investor enthusiasm that said fundamentals to only 5% from 20%. This comes amid the escalating U.S.-Iran war and worsening with time. Two days earlier, President Trump threatened to keep hitting the Middle Eastern country at the time of the refusal to retreat by the country.
The Bet on Slashing Rates
The new predictions of Yarden come as oil prices increase over $100 a barrel. A lot of experts are now predicting an elongated conflict in the area that could send energy costs even higher, which could crash crypto stocks further.
At the same time, investors pushed back anticipations for the upcoming Fed rate slash to September. Before the war initiated, traders had completely priced in a move by July. Some of them are also betting the Fed may not slash rates at all in 2026. This comes at the time of slower economic growth and increasing inflation.
In the morning of March 9, Iran named its new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Ali Khamenei, who was assassinated by the U.S. This indicated the desire of the government for continuity as Iran witnesses more attacks from the US and Israel nine days into the war.
A lot of crypto-associated firms have started to pivot from their strategies at the time of tensions. For example, Bitcoin miner Core Scientific sold some BTC as it moved to an AI-aimed structure. This witnessed its CORZ crypto stock crash at the time.
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