Don’t Obsess Over Bitcoin’s Bottom as $38K Low Comes Into Focus: Analyst

Bitcoin’s price action so far this year has put the four-year cycle narrative back in focus as its timing and overall structure increasingly resemble the major reset years of 2014, 2018, and 2022, even though the current market has not followed those cycles exactly.

BTC has fallen almost 50% from its all-time high of $126,000 established on October 6, 2025, with the cryptocurrency hitting a new cycle low of $57,700 on July 1 during the quarter-end period. The drawdown lasted more than 268 days before BTC staged a mild recovery this week.