U.S. Jobs Report Misses Forecasts as Payrolls Fall and Rate Cut Bets Rise

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U.S. payrolls unexpectedly fell by 23,000 in July with the unemployment rate steady at 4.1% and May–June payrolls revised down by a combined 103,000 while average hourly earnings rose 3.2% year-over-year. The weaker jobs data boosted hopes for a Federal Reserve rate pause, kept Bitcoin resilient, and supported crypto market sentiment ahead of next week’s inflation data with potential implications for interest rates, DeFi liquidity and CEX activity.
- U.S. payrolls fell unexpectedly, reinforcing expectations of a Fed rate pause.
- Markets now await next week’s inflation data for clues on future Fed policy.
- Bitcoin stayed resilient as weak jobs data boosted hopes for steady interest rates.
The U.S. labor market unexpectedly weakened in July as employers cut 23,000 jobs, defying expectations for payroll growth. The unemployment rate held at 4.1%, matching economists’ forecasts.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised May and June payrolls down by a combined 103,000 jobs, indicating the labor market was weaker than previously reported. Healthcare remained the main source of private-sector hiring, while local government education and retail recorded the largest job losses. Average hourly earnings rose 3.2% from a year earlier, even as inflation continued to weigh on household budgets.
The weaker employment r…
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