Bitcoin Price Prediction: Polymarket Bets 77% Odds BTC Stays Below $75K in 2026
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- Bitcoin slips under $64K as OI drops 1.98% to $43.43 billion, signaling long unwind.
- Volume jumps 12% to $74.90 billion as long bias risks cascade if support fails.
- Polymarket odds show 77% probability BTC stays under $75K this year.
Bitcoin price today trades near $63,790, trading flat after breaking below the $64,000 support that held through most of February. The move places sellers in control as derivatives positioning collapses and prediction markets price in extended weakness through year-end.
Open Interest Crashes As Derivatives Unwind
Open interest declined 1.98% to $43.43 billion, continuing a multi-week deleveraging process. Volume surged 12.19% to $74.90 billion, a combination that confirms forced liquidations rather than organic profit-taking. When OI drops sharply while volume spikes, it signals that overleveraged positions are …
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