Why Bitcoin’s Old Cycle Timing Failed in 2025 and What Replaced It
Dec 19, 2025
< 1 min read
by Ikemefula Aruogu
for CoinEdition

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AI Overview
Bitcoin is moving away from its historical 4-year cycle, which was influenced by 'memetic consensus'. Institutional investors appear to be driving this new behavior. The traditional cycle is seen as disrupted, calling into question its previous predictability.
Bearish
- Bitcoin is deviating from the historical 4-year cycle pattern.
- The pattern was powered by “memetic consensus.”
- Institutional investors may be influencing a new behavioral pattern for Bitcoin.
A self-described nihilistic cryptocurrency speculator believes that Bitcoin is departing from the traditional 4-year cycle into a trend that is yet to be determined.
In his latest post on X, the analyst highlighted Bitcoin’s past behavior, explaining the concept behind the 4-year cycle, which is currently undergoing disruption.
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