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Raoul Pal Predicts Bitcoin Peak in 2026 Despite Debt Shift
Oct 21, 2025
< 1 min read
by Peter Mwangi
for CoinEdition
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- Bitcoin’s market cycle extends to 2026 due to longer global debt maturity.
- Liquidity drives 90% of Bitcoin’s value changes, outweighing earnings or geopolitics.
- High rates delay growth, but expanding liquidity supports crypto momentum into 2026.
Macro investor Raoul Pal has stated that Bitcoin’s traditional four-year market rhythm has shifted into a five-year cycle, projecting the next peak to occur around the second quarter of 2026. His analysis connects this shift to a structural change in global debt maturity, extending the usual business cycle by roughly a year.
Speaking on Real Vision, Pal explained that the maturity of government debt was lengthened from four to five years betwee…
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