Bitcoin whales and spot ETFs have been absorbing supply, with addresses holding 10,000+ BTC accumulating 46,420 BTC in the 60 days through Aug 9 and Santiment reporting 90 wallets with ≥10,000 BTC while spot ETFs drew about $853.54 million in the week ending Aug 7. However, Glassnode and CryptoQuant warn of weak network activity, thin spot liquidity, falling exchange volume (Binance -45% YoY, OKX -57% YoY in July), realized losses still exceeding profits and a CryptoQuant downside target near $51,336 (-21%), leaving the recovery fragile ahead of US inflation data.

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In Brief

Whales and ETFs are absorbing Bitcoin supply, but the recovery still looks fragile.
Addresses holding 10,000+ BTC accumulated 46,420 coins in 60 days through August 9.
Glassnode reports weak network activity and thin liquidity as accumulation quietly builds.

Bitcoin (BTC) whales and spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are absorbing supply, yet on-chain data shows the wider recovery still lacks depth.

Strong accumulation now sits against weak network activity and thinning liquidity, suggesting the market has not yet moved from a fragile bounce to a durable trend.

The Accumulation Case Looks Strong

CryptoQuant data show that addresses holding more than 10,000 BTC accumulated 46,420 BTC over a 60-day period through August 9. That reading is the highest since March 15 and nearly double the mid-March peak of 23,238 BTC.

Wallets holding 0.1 to 1 BTC reduced balances by roughly 9,700 BTC over the same period.

“This is a notable shift in positioning. The largest holders are increasing their exposure while smaller holders are reducing theirs,” an analyst wrote.

Santiment separately counted 90 wallets holding at least 10,000 BTC, a six-month high.

🐳 Bitcoin’s elite wallet count has bounced back to a 6-month high, with 90 wallets now holding at least 10K $BTC.📈 This is not a tiny signal. There has been a net gain of +6 wallets holding at least 10K+ BTC in the past 8 weeks, a +7.1% rise.🦐 Micro wallet holdings have… pic.twitter.com/c2khTjHsC5
— Santiment Intelligence (@SantimentData) August 10, 2026

Institutional demand also strengthened last week. Spot Bitcoin ETFs drew about $853.54 million in the week ending August 7. That was their best week since April 17, according to SoSoValue.

Why Bitcoin’s Recovery Still Looks Fragile

Nonetheless, the latest signals look softer. Spot Bitcoin ETFs reversed to a net outflow on Monday, an early sign that the inflow streak may be losing momentum.

Glassnode also reported that active addresses, transfer volume, and fee generation have drifted toward lower bounds. Profitability has improved only modestly, and realized losses still exceed realized profits on-chain.

The report describes the market as a transitional recovery that has yet to broaden into a full expansion.

“Improving institutional flows, stronger taker demand, and less defensive options positioning provide a constructive backdrop, but subdued spot liquidity and weak network activity suggest the recovery has yet to develop into a broad-based expansion,” the firm said.

Liquidity also remains thin. One CryptoQuant analyst noted monthly trading volume on Binance fell about 45% year-over-year in July, while OKX dropped roughly 57%. Shrinking depth lets modest flows swing prices sharply.

Another CryptoQuant analyst flagged a bearish top formation, with a downside target near $51,336, about 21% below current levels.

Top Pattern Ahead – Next Sell-Off Soon“Despite remaining upside, risk predominates. Lack of trend strength means upward moves can collapse anytime. Higher price highs are forming lower MACD highs → clear bearish divergence.” – By @STASolutions1 pic.twitter.com/X9pMGvZbWB
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) August 10, 2026