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Watchlist Portfolio

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028 is a prediction market on Polymarket. The chart shows real-time probability changes across all outcomes. Track top holders, trading volume, and liquidity for each outcome. The market resolves on Nov 7, 2028.

Event Rules

Active

11.07.2025 - 07.11.2028

52 Markets

Politics

Polymarket

Markets Statistics

Total Volume

$ 703.14M

Liquidity

$ 61.66M

Volume

$ 324.44K

-45.5%

Start Date

Jul 11, 2025

Resolution Date

Nov 7, 2028

Oracle

UMA

Outcome Probabilities

Jd vance

24.7%

Marco rubio

8.8%

-3.30%

Alexandria ocasio-cortez

13.3%

Jon ossoff

11.9%

Start Date

Jul 11, 2025

Resolution Date

Nov 7, 2028

Oracle

UMA

Key Metrics

Sort by

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$26.87M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.247

No Price

$0.754

Total Volume

$16.21M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.133

No Price

$0.868

Total Volume

$13.60M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.119

No Price

$0.882

Total Volume

$5.66M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.088

No Price

$0.912

Total Volume

$12.26M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.073

No Price

$0.927

Total Volume

$18.19M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.037

No Price

$0.964

Total Volume

$8.93M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.033

No Price

$0.968

Total Volume

$7.53M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.024

No Price

$0.977

Total Volume

$8.20M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.02

No Price

$0.981

Total Volume

$10.14M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.02

No Price

$0.98

Total Volume

$12.57M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.018

No Price

$0.983

Total Volume

$681.98K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.015

No Price

$0.986

Total Volume

$8.34M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.013

No Price

$0.988

Total Volume

$14.20M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.011

No Price

$0.99

Total Volume

$19.16M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.01

No Price

$0.991

Total Volume

$10.77M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.009

No Price

$0.992

Total Volume

$35.35M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.008

No Price

$0.992

Total Volume

$8.33M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.008

No Price

$0.993

Total Volume

$12.57M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.007

No Price

$0.994

Total Volume

$13.71M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.007

No Price

$0.994

Total Volume

$7.12M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.006

No Price

$0.995

Total Volume

$10.94M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.005

No Price

$0.996

Total Volume

$8.16M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.004

No Price

$0.997

Total Volume

$12.82M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.004

No Price

$0.997

Total Volume

$15.57M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.003

No Price

$0.998

Total Volume

$19.21M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.002

No Price

$0.999

Total Volume

$30.05M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.002

No Price

$0.999

Total Volume

$932.07K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.002

No Price

$0.999

Total Volume

$493.04K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.002

No Price

$0.999

Total Volume

$1.44M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.002

No Price

$0.999

Total Volume

$35.34M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.002

No Price

$0.999

Total Volume

$26.97M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.002

No Price

$0.999

Total Volume

$610.68K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$54.77M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$44.72M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$18.81M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$2.71M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$40.26M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$1.02M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$519.46K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$834.60K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$374.71K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$489.39K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$378.88K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$303.35K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$385.92K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$22.15M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$258.70K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$363.01K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$0.999

Total Volume

$37.91M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$33.45M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$0.001

No Price

$1.00

Total Volume

$10.33M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

faq

What is the «Presidential Election Winner 2028» prediction market?

This is a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the outcome of «Presidential Election Winner 2028». It contains 52 markets, each representing a possible outcome. Trading is open until Nov 7, 2028, after which the correct outcome is confirmed and payouts are finalized.

What do Yes Price and No Price mean?

Yes Price is the current market probability that this specific outcome will happen — a Yes Price of $0.16 means traders collectively estimate a 16% chance. No Price reflects the probability it won't happen. The two always sum to approximately $1.00 and update in real time as traders buy and sell positions.

How accurate are prediction market odds compared to real outcomes?

Research consistently shows prediction markets are well-calibrated — events priced at 70% tend to occur roughly 70% of the time, often outperforming traditional polls and analyst forecasts. The Event Chart on this page shows how probabilities have shifted over time, reflecting how new information gets priced in by traders with real money at stake.

How do I read the Event Chart?

The Event Chart shows how the probability of the top-4 outcomes has changed over time. Each coloured line represents one market — the higher the line, the higher the probability traders assign to that outcome. You can switch between timeframes (1H, 6H, 1D, 7D, All) to see short-term momentum or the full history since the market opened.

How do I use this page to track smart money and whale activity?

The Top Holders section shows the largest Yes and No position holders for each market — these are the wallets with the most capital at stake. Their Average Entry Price reveals when they entered and at what conviction level. The TVL (Top 10 Holders) metric shows how much of the total market value is concentrated in the largest positions. A high TVL relative to Total Volume signals that a few large traders are driving price discovery.

What is TVL (Top 10 Holders) and why does it matter?

TVL stands for Total Value Locked — it is the combined dollar value of shares held by the top 10 largest position holders in this market. High TVL relative to Total Volume indicates that a small number of large traders dominate the market, which can make prices more sensitive to their activity and trades.

How do prediction market odds differ from traditional sportsbook odds?

Sportsbooks set odds themselves and profit from the spread between sides. Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi work differently — prices emerge from actual supply and demand between traders, so they reflect the collective estimate of probability more directly. There is no house edge built in. On this page you can compare Yes and No prices across all outcomes and see how market consensus evolves in real time.

What is the Chance to Win chart?

The Chance to Win donut chart visualises the current Yes vs No probability split for a specific market. The percentages are derived directly from live Yes Price and No Price values. A Yes reading of 16.3% and No of 83.7% means the market currently prices in an 83.7% chance this outcome will not happen.

What does Average Entry Price in the Top Holders table mean?

Average Entry Price (Avg Price) is the weighted average price at which a wallet bought its shares. Comparing this to the current Yes or No Price shows whether a holder is currently in profit or at a loss. A wallet that entered at $0.20 with a current price of $0.16 is sitting at an unrealized loss, visible in the PnL column next to it.

How does this prediction market resolve, and what happens if it is canceled?

When the real-world event concludes, the market passes through statuses: Active → Closed → Settled → Resolved → Finalized. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares pay $0.00. The resolution is confirmed by an Oracle — UMA on Polymarket, or API/Manual Check on Kalshi. If a market is canceled before resolution, all positions are returned to holders at their original entry price.