Military action against Iran ends by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markets Statistics
Total Volume
$ 31.69M
Liquidity
$ 8.66M
Volume
N/A
N/A
Start Date
Mar 27, 2026
Resolution Date
Apr 30, 2026
Oracle
UMA
Outcome Probabilities
April 17
100.0%
0%Start Date
Mar 27, 2026
Resolution Date
Apr 30, 2026
Oracle
UMA
Key Metrics
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.001
Total Volume
$28.66M
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$711.40K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$311.52K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$237.47K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$145.54K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$139.05K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$134.01K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$127.01K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$116.60K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$104.69K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$101.48K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$99.01K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$97.64K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$97.51K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$93.18K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$85.32K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$81.59K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$80.72K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$78.12K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$64.44K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$32.86K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$16.44K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.00
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$13.96K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.00
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$13.68K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.00
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$11.40K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.00
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$10.25K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.00
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$8.24K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.00
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$5.24K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.00
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$3.93K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.00
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$3.62K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A