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Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

Active

18.03.2026 - 31.03.2026

14 Markets

Strike

Polymarket

Markets Statistics

Total Volume

$ 3.63M

Liquidity

$ 198.22K


Volume

N/A

N/A

Start Date

Mar 18, 2026

Resolution Date

Mar 31, 2026

Oracle

UMA

Outcome Probabilities

March 29

100.0%

0%

Start Date

Mar 18, 2026

Resolution Date

Mar 31, 2026

Oracle

UMA

Key Metrics

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.001

Total Volume

$42.40K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$3.39M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$129.58K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$78.52K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$59.28K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$50.38K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$47.14K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$45.27K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$38.31K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$38.30K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$36.42K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$30.48K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$17.35K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders

Market Overview

Yes Price

$1.00

No Price

$0.00

Total Volume

$13.20K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/A

Top Holders