
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Markets Statistics
Total Volume
$ 3.63M
Liquidity
$ 198.22K
Volume
N/A
N/A
Start Date
Mar 18, 2026
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Oracle
UMA
Outcome Probabilities
March 29
100.0%
0%Start Date
Mar 18, 2026
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Oracle
UMA
Key Metrics
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.001
Total Volume
$42.40K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$3.39M
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$129.58K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$78.52K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$59.28K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$50.38K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$47.14K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$45.27K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$38.31K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$38.30K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$36.42K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$30.48K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$17.35K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$13.20K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A