
Iran military action against Israel on...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israel’s soil on the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact Israeli ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Israel counts. Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip will not be counted as Israel. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Israeli territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Iranian ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.
Markets Statistics
Total Volume
$ 2.13M
Liquidity
$ 120.13K
Volume
N/A
N/A
Start Date
Mar 17, 2026
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Oracle
UMA
Outcome Probabilities
March 21
75.5%
0%March 31
100.0%
0%Start Date
Mar 17, 2026
Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Oracle
UMA
Key Metrics
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.001
Total Volume
$42.61K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.755
No Price
$0.245
Total Volume
$20.84K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$232.74K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$232.24K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$145.69K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$120.59K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$104.23K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$88.56K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$74.70K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$71.77K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$64.79K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$47.70K
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.00
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$2.09M
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.00
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$1.45M
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A