
Fed decision in March?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's March 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17 - 18, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Event Chart
Markets Statistics
Total Volume
$ 518.63M
Liquidity
$ 13.31M
Volume
N/A
N/A
Start Date
Oct 29, 2025
Resolution Date
Mar 18, 2026
Oracle
UMA
Outcome Probabilities
25+ bps increase
0.1%
-50%25 bps decrease
0.1%
-50%50+ bps decrease
0.1%
0%Start Date
Oct 29, 2025
Resolution Date
Mar 18, 2026
Oracle
UMA
Key Metrics
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.001
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$173.17M
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Unique Traders by Volume
Chance to win
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.001
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$87.10M
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Unique Traders by Volume
Chance to win
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$0.001
No Price
$1.00
Total Volume
$172.97M
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Unique Traders by Volume
Chance to win
Top Holders
Market Overview
Yes Price
$1.00
No Price
$0.00
Total Volume
$85.38M
TVL (Top 10 Holders)
N/A
Unique Traders by Volume
Chance to win