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MainNewsPresident Tr...

President Trump May Trigger Decorrelation Between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq, According to Macro Guru Luke Gromen


Apr, 06, 2025
3 min read
by Alex Richardson
for The Daily Hodl

Macro investor Luke Gromen says that the White House may have caused a massive change in the way that Bitcoin (BTC) trades.

In a new interview with Natalie Brunell on the Coin Stories podcast, Gromen calls attention to the America First Investment Policy, a memo released by the Trump Administration in February that aims to make the US foreign investment policies more cautious and conscious of national security.

Gromen, the founder of the macroeconomic research firm Forest for the Trees (FFTT), says that the memo essentially directs China to “take your money and go home, we don’t want it here anymore.”

With all of the foreign capital invested in US markets, Gromen says the Nasdaq index will likely suffer capital outflows while Bitcoin – as a neutral global asset essentially exempt from tariffs or political agendas – will shine, breaking the correlation between the two assets.

“That, I think will ultimately be a catalyst to the separation of Bitcoin and Nasdaq, and that, I think, is starting to drive Nasdaq down – it has a long way to go because multiples are high – and in the short run, traders control the flows…

Bitcoin is levered Nasdaq, I get it; it’s a high-beta Nasdaq, in the short run. If you back up to a five-year or ten-year chart, you can see very clearly these periods where Bitcoin has massively outperformed Nasdaq, but they still tend to go directionally similarly, when Bitcoin’s up Nasdaq’s up and vice versa…

The America First Investment Policy memo, I think, will start to break that correlation because I think right now in the short run, that correlation is holding, [but] at some point I think capital flow is going to see Bitcoin for what it is which is a neutral reserve asset linked to energy, uncontrollable by any govenment and I think it’ll start siphoning some flows off from Nasdaq as America continues to say, ‘Listen, you want to invest in some factories here? Great, otherwise, get out.’ 

And that’s a lot of capital that’s got to get out, and we’re seeing gold benefit already. I think what we’re seeing in gold is a precursor to what we’ll see in Bitcoin.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is worth $83,233.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: Midjourney

The post President Trump May Trigger Decorrelation Between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq, According to Macro Guru Luke Gromen appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Read the article at The Daily Hodl

Read More

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MainNewsPresident Tr...

President Trump May Trigger Decorrelation Between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq, According to Macro Guru Luke Gromen


Apr, 06, 2025
3 min read
by Alex Richardson
for The Daily Hodl

Macro investor Luke Gromen says that the White House may have caused a massive change in the way that Bitcoin (BTC) trades.

In a new interview with Natalie Brunell on the Coin Stories podcast, Gromen calls attention to the America First Investment Policy, a memo released by the Trump Administration in February that aims to make the US foreign investment policies more cautious and conscious of national security.

Gromen, the founder of the macroeconomic research firm Forest for the Trees (FFTT), says that the memo essentially directs China to “take your money and go home, we don’t want it here anymore.”

With all of the foreign capital invested in US markets, Gromen says the Nasdaq index will likely suffer capital outflows while Bitcoin – as a neutral global asset essentially exempt from tariffs or political agendas – will shine, breaking the correlation between the two assets.

“That, I think will ultimately be a catalyst to the separation of Bitcoin and Nasdaq, and that, I think, is starting to drive Nasdaq down – it has a long way to go because multiples are high – and in the short run, traders control the flows…

Bitcoin is levered Nasdaq, I get it; it’s a high-beta Nasdaq, in the short run. If you back up to a five-year or ten-year chart, you can see very clearly these periods where Bitcoin has massively outperformed Nasdaq, but they still tend to go directionally similarly, when Bitcoin’s up Nasdaq’s up and vice versa…

The America First Investment Policy memo, I think, will start to break that correlation because I think right now in the short run, that correlation is holding, [but] at some point I think capital flow is going to see Bitcoin for what it is which is a neutral reserve asset linked to energy, uncontrollable by any govenment and I think it’ll start siphoning some flows off from Nasdaq as America continues to say, ‘Listen, you want to invest in some factories here? Great, otherwise, get out.’ 

And that’s a lot of capital that’s got to get out, and we’re seeing gold benefit already. I think what we’re seeing in gold is a precursor to what we’ll see in Bitcoin.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is worth $83,233.

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Don't Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix


 
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: Midjourney

The post President Trump May Trigger Decorrelation Between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq, According to Macro Guru Luke Gromen appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Read the article at The Daily Hodl

Read More

Crypto Outshines Nasdaq as Trump Tariffs Trigger Massive Selloff

Crypto Outshines Nasdaq as Trump Tariffs Trigger Massive Selloff

Bitcoin and the broader crypto market show resilience as U.S. equities face a brutal ...
Apr, 06, 2025
2 min read
by TheNewsCrypto
Arthur Hayes says Trump’s tariffs will break Bitcoin’s correlation to Nasdaq

Arthur Hayes says Trump’s tariffs will break Bitcoin’s correlation to Nasdaq

Arthur Hayes thinks Bitcoin is finally breaking out of its relationship with the Nasd...
Apr, 05, 2025
3 min read
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