• 30-year Treasury yield has surged by an unprecedented 56 bps in three days
• January 7, 1982 was the last time anything similar happened
• In the last 54 hours, the 30-year yield reached 5%

​Recent developments in the US Treasury market have raised concerns among financial analysts and investors. Jim Bianco, a prominent market analyst, highlighted an exceptionally rapid surge in the 30-year Treasury yield, noting a 56 basis points (bps) increase over three trading days. Anything similar like this hasn’t been seen since January 7, 1982, when yields were 14%. 

Bianco shared charts illustrating the 3-day change, showing recent volatility dwarfing historical norms. This likely suggests a forced unwind of the “basis trade,“ which is a strategy employed by hedge funds involving the simultaneous purchase of Treasury securities and the sale of corresponding futures contracts to exploit price discrepancies. Such an approach usually relies on substantial leverage and assumes stable market conditions.

Bianco argues that this move reflects systemic stress and not human decisions, as it occurred at midnight ET. He notes that such a historic shift points to a forced…

The post Bond Market Meltdown? 30-Year Treasury Yield Sees Historic 3-Day Spike appeared first on Coin Edition.

• 30-year Treasury yield has surged by an unprecedented 56 bps in three days
• January 7, 1982 was the last time anything similar happened
• In the last 54 hours, the 30-year yield reached 5%

​Recent developments in the US Treasury market have raised concerns among financial analysts and investors. Jim Bianco, a prominent market analyst, highlighted an exceptionally rapid surge in the 30-year Treasury yield, noting a 56 basis points (bps) increase over three trading days. Anything similar like this hasn’t been seen since January 7, 1982, when yields were 14%. 

Bianco shared charts illustrating the 3-day change, showing recent volatility dwarfing historical norms. This likely suggests a forced unwind of the “basis trade,“ which is a strategy employed by hedge funds involving the simultaneous purchase of Treasury securities and the sale of corresponding futures contracts to exploit price discrepancies. Such an approach usually relies on substantial leverage and assumes stable market conditions.

Bianco argues that this move reflects systemic stress and not human decisions, as it occurred at midnight ET. He notes that such a historic shift points to a forced…

The post Bond Market Meltdown? 30-Year Treasury Yield Sees Historic 3-Day Spike appeared first on Coin Edition.