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Circle stock declines despite beating Q3 estimates


Circle stock declines despite beating Q3 estimates

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Shares of Circle Internet Group, Inc. (NYSE: CRCL) fell on Wednesday despite the issuer of the USDC stablecoin reporting quarterly earnings that topped Wall Street expectations.

The company’s third-quarter fiscal 2025 results reflected a sharp rise in revenue and profit, driven by continued adoption of its USD-pegged cryptocurrency, USDC.

Circle reported adjusted earnings of $0.64 per share, significantly exceeding analyst projections of $0.18 to $0.22 per share.

The company’s net income from continuing operations reached $214.4 million, up 202% from $71 million in the same period last year.

Total revenue climbed 66% year-over-year to $739.8 million, well ahead of the average analyst estimate of around $706 million.

The company’s financial performance was largely supported by the growth in USDC circulation, which stood at $73.7 billion at the end of September, more than double the total a year ago.

Circle earns most of its income from interest generated on USDC reserves, which are held in a registered money market fund.

The firm’s stablecoin market share rose to 29%, an increase of more than six percentage points from the prior year.

Despite the strong operational results, Circle shares dipped 4% in premarket trading to $93.

The stock remains up more than 200% from its June initial public offering price of $31 but has fallen 63% from its all-time high reached in late June.

Higher costs offset upbeat revenue outlook

While Circle’s third-quarter performance surpassed market forecasts, its updated full-year guidance signaled rising expenses that may have weighed on investor sentiment.

The company now expects operating expenses between $495 million and $510 million for 2025, compared with its previous forecast of $475 million to $490 million.

At the same time, Circle raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance for non-reserve sources, such as subscriptions and services, to $95 million at the midpoint, up from its earlier estimate of $80 million.

Similarly, the firm increased its outlook for “Other Revenue” to $90 million–$100 million, from the prior range of $75 million–$85 million.

The company maintained its multi-year outlook for USDC circulation growth at a compound annual rate of 40%, underscoring management’s confidence in the stablecoin’s continued adoption across payment, trading, and blockchain infrastructure platforms.

CEO highlights strategic expansion despite market volatility

Chief Executive Officer Jeremy Allaire emphasized the company’s long-term strategy to build “the new Economic OS for the internet.”

He noted that Circle continues to experience accelerating adoption of USDC and its broader platform, even as market conditions remain volatile.

In August, Circle reported a second-quarter loss of $482 million, primarily tied to one-time charges related to its June initial public offering.

Since then, the company’s profitability and balance sheet have improved considerably, reflecting growing institutional demand for regulated stablecoins.

With expanding use cases for USDC and rising global partnerships, Circle is positioning itself as a leading player in the digital finance ecosystem.

However, investors appear cautious about the impact of the company’s higher spending plans, which could temper margins in the near term despite strong underlying growth.

The post Circle stock declines despite beating Q3 estimates appeared first on Invezz

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