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Fitch Ratings Warn US Tariffs Could Lead to a Recession


Apr, 04, 2025
2 min read
by Vinod Dsouza
for Watcher.Guru
Fitch Ratings Warn US Tariffs Could Lead to a Recession

Fitch Ratings has warned that the sweeping US tariffs could lead to a recession and lower global growth. US President Donald Trump announced tariffs affecting more than three dozen countries globally. After Liberation Day, the US stock market experienced a major crash, wiping out $2.85 trillion in a single trading session. Dow Jones crashed 1,679 points during the closing bell and dipped to more than 1,850 points at one point.

Also Read: Jim Cramer Calls Nvidia (NVDA) Stock a “Meme Stock”: Is It?

The tariffs were imposed on both allies and foes, leading to widespread anger as the normal flow of trade was disrupted. Read here for the full list of countries that face tariffs and reciprocal tariffs. According to Fitch Ratings, the tariffs could trigger a recession and raise consumer prices across the US.

In addition, Fitch Ratings highlighted that the US tariffs could lower revenues and earnings leading to corporate losses. The development in turn would slow down growth and lead to job losses across various sectors. Only the semiconductor and pharmacy industry could remain safe as they are being negotiated separately.

Also Read: Nike (NKE) Stock Down Double Digits Following Reciprocal Tariffs

US Tariffs Increase Recession Chances: Fitch Ratings

US Recession
Source: Watcher.Guru

Fitch Ratings increased their US recession chances from 18% to 25% as the tariffs went live on Wednesday. This is the highest rating Fitch provided in the last 115 years. “We estimate the changes will raise the overall US ETR to about 25%, which would be significantly higher than the 18% we had assumed for 2025 in the March GEO and the highest rate for more than 115 years,” Fitch said.

Also Read: Jim Cramer ‘Concerned’ About Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock: Should You Be?

The tariffs will also slowdown the economy and Fitch Ratings projected that the US will see less than 1.7% growth as recession looms. The DXY index, which tracks the performance of the US dollar shows the currency dipping to the 101.60 mark. The US dollar has plummeted close to 6.75% year-to-date and has turned bearish.

Read the article at Watcher.Guru

Read More

Crypto Market Slides 3% As Trump’s Sweeping Tariffs Rattle Assets, Recession Fears Mount

Crypto Market Slides 3% As Trump’s Sweeping Tariffs Rattle Assets, Recession Fears Mount

The crypto market tumbled 3% Friday, with Bitcoin briefly dropping 6%, as Trump’s new...
Apr, 04, 2025
2 min read
by Cryptonews
JPMorgan Says US Recession Is “Close” After Trump Tariffs

JPMorgan Says US Recession Is “Close” After Trump Tariffs

Several bank analysts, including those at JPMorgan, are fearful that a US economic re...
Apr, 03, 2025
2 min read
by Watcher.Guru
MainNewsFitch Rating...

Fitch Ratings Warn US Tariffs Could Lead to a Recession


Apr, 04, 2025
2 min read
by Vinod Dsouza
for Watcher.Guru
Fitch Ratings Warn US Tariffs Could Lead to a Recession

Fitch Ratings has warned that the sweeping US tariffs could lead to a recession and lower global growth. US President Donald Trump announced tariffs affecting more than three dozen countries globally. After Liberation Day, the US stock market experienced a major crash, wiping out $2.85 trillion in a single trading session. Dow Jones crashed 1,679 points during the closing bell and dipped to more than 1,850 points at one point.

Also Read: Jim Cramer Calls Nvidia (NVDA) Stock a “Meme Stock”: Is It?

The tariffs were imposed on both allies and foes, leading to widespread anger as the normal flow of trade was disrupted. Read here for the full list of countries that face tariffs and reciprocal tariffs. According to Fitch Ratings, the tariffs could trigger a recession and raise consumer prices across the US.

In addition, Fitch Ratings highlighted that the US tariffs could lower revenues and earnings leading to corporate losses. The development in turn would slow down growth and lead to job losses across various sectors. Only the semiconductor and pharmacy industry could remain safe as they are being negotiated separately.

Also Read: Nike (NKE) Stock Down Double Digits Following Reciprocal Tariffs

US Tariffs Increase Recession Chances: Fitch Ratings

US Recession
Source: Watcher.Guru

Fitch Ratings increased their US recession chances from 18% to 25% as the tariffs went live on Wednesday. This is the highest rating Fitch provided in the last 115 years. “We estimate the changes will raise the overall US ETR to about 25%, which would be significantly higher than the 18% we had assumed for 2025 in the March GEO and the highest rate for more than 115 years,” Fitch said.

Also Read: Jim Cramer ‘Concerned’ About Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock: Should You Be?

The tariffs will also slowdown the economy and Fitch Ratings projected that the US will see less than 1.7% growth as recession looms. The DXY index, which tracks the performance of the US dollar shows the currency dipping to the 101.60 mark. The US dollar has plummeted close to 6.75% year-to-date and has turned bearish.

Read the article at Watcher.Guru

Read More

Crypto Market Slides 3% As Trump’s Sweeping Tariffs Rattle Assets, Recession Fears Mount

Crypto Market Slides 3% As Trump’s Sweeping Tariffs Rattle Assets, Recession Fears Mount

The crypto market tumbled 3% Friday, with Bitcoin briefly dropping 6%, as Trump’s new...
Apr, 04, 2025
2 min read
by Cryptonews
JPMorgan Says US Recession Is “Close” After Trump Tariffs

JPMorgan Says US Recession Is “Close” After Trump Tariffs

Several bank analysts, including those at JPMorgan, are fearful that a US economic re...
Apr, 03, 2025
2 min read
by Watcher.Guru