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Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israel’s soil on the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact Israeli ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Israel counts. Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip will not be counted as Israel. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Israeli territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Iranian ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.

Activo

17.03.2026 - 31.03.2026

14 Mercados

Strike

Polymarket

Estadísticas de mercados

Volumen total

$ 2.13M

Liquidez

$ 120.13K


Volumen

N/D

N/D

Fecha de inicio

17 mar 2026

Fecha de resolución

31 mar 2026

Oráculo

UMA

Probabilidades de resultado

March 21

75.5%

0%

March 31

100.0%

0%

Fecha de inicio

17 mar 2026

Fecha de resolución

31 mar 2026

Oráculo

UMA

Métricas clave

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$1.00

Precio de No

$0.001

Volumen total

$42.61K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$0.755

Precio de No

$0.245

Volumen total

$20.84K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$1.00

Precio de No

$0.00

Volumen total

$232.74K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$1.00

Precio de No

$0.00

Volumen total

$232.24K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$1.00

Precio de No

$0.00

Volumen total

$145.69K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$1.00

Precio de No

$0.00

Volumen total

$120.59K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$1.00

Precio de No

$0.00

Volumen total

$104.23K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$1.00

Precio de No

$0.00

Volumen total

$88.56K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$1.00

Precio de No

$0.00

Volumen total

$74.70K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$1.00

Precio de No

$0.00

Volumen total

$71.77K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$1.00

Precio de No

$0.00

Volumen total

$64.79K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$1.00

Precio de No

$0.00

Volumen total

$47.70K

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$0.00

Precio de No

$1.00

Volumen total

$2.09M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders

Visión del mercado

Precio de Yes

$0.00

Precio de No

$1.00

Volumen total

$1.45M

TVL (Top 10 Holders)

N/D

Principales holders