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China’s Kimi K3 Hits US Stock Markets. Is the American AI Boom Over?


China’s Kimi K3 Hits US Stock Markets. Is the American AI Boom Over?

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Moonshot will let anyone download Kimi K3 — a 2.8 trillion-parameter open AI model — for free on July 27 and charges about $3 per million input tokens versus competitors (Fable 5 ~$10), with Chamath highlighting million-token costs of $56 (Anthropic), $26 (OpenAI) and $0.50 (Chinese labs). The launch knocked chip stocks (Philadelphia Semiconductor Index down 12.5% this week, though still >60% YTD) and is accelerating crypto-relevant moves such as crypto-style derivatives on AI compute and CME/ICE GPU compute futures, implying faster adoption of tokenized compute and DeFi-style products but heightened market and security/trust risks.

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In Brief

  • China just released Kimi K3, a free-to-run AI model rivaling America's best.
  • US chip stocks head for their worst week in over 15 months.
  • Moonshot bets open models, agent swarms, and cheap tokens will win the AI race.

China’s Moonshot released Kimi K3 on Thursday, a model it says matches Anthropic’s Claude Fable and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6. US chip stocks sank as investors asked if America’s AI lead is safe.

Kimi K3 packs 2.8 trillion parameters, making it the largest open model ever released. Moonshot, an Alibaba-backed startup, will let anyone download it free from July 27.

NVDA, Broadcom (AVGO), TSM, and AMD Stock Performances. Source: TradingViewNVDA, Broadcom (AVGO), TSM, and AMD Stock Performances. Source: TradingView

Chip Stocks Just Had Their Worst Week in 15 Months

The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, which tracks America’s biggest chipmakers, fell 12.5% this week, marking its worst week in over 15 months. Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom all fell hard. Still, the index remains up more than 60% this year.

Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (XSOX) Performance. Source: TradingViewPhiladelphia Semiconductor Index (XSOX) Performance. Source: TradingView

“Investors are questioning the strength of the AI-driven rally after China’s Moonshot unveiled a powerful open AI model. Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom all fell sharply, though the chip index remains up more than 60% this year,” Walter Bloomberg noted.

China’s own AI stocks fell too. In Hong Kong trading on Friday, Zhipu dropped 28% and MiniMax lost 16%, per market data. Meanwhile, the AI bubble question is back in focus.

Markets have seen this movie before. When China’s DeepSeek stunned Wall Street in January 2025, Nvidia lost $589 billion in one day. CNBC called it the biggest single-day loss in market history.

CNBC host Jim Cramer expects a repeat, and says the real issue is trust.

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Traders are even betting on the fight itself:

  • Bernstein says crypto-style derivatives now trade on AI computing power.
  • CME Group plans the first compute futures with Silicon Data,
  • ICE announced GPU contracts with Ornn.

Why Kimi K3 Has Everyone’s Attention

Kimi K3 earned the hype. This week, it topped Arena’s coding leaderboard with 1,679 points, pushing Claude Fable 5 into second place.

It is also cheap. Moonshot charges $3 per million input tokens, while Fable 5 costs $10. The model reads a million tokens at once, enough to hold an entire codebase in one prompt.Founder and CEO Zhilin Yang explained the plan in a recent session.

He named three ways to scale AI: Squeeze more from each token, stretch the context, and run agent swarms in parallel.

“…token efficiency is not just about efficiency. It’s actually also about improving the upper bound of intelligence,” read a transcript of his Yang’s speech.

What Kimi K3 Means for America’s AI Lead

Price is the first battleground. Days before the launch, investor Chamath Palihapitiya priced the problem on CNBC’s Squawk Box. A million tokens costs $56 from Anthropic, $26 from OpenAI, and 50 cents from Chinese labs, he said.

Usage tells the same story. Chinese models have overtaken US rivals in monthly token use. Washington keeps squeezing chip exports, and Nvidia just purged Asian chip buyers.

Yet Moonshot trained its recent models on Nvidia’s export-grade H800 chips anyway.

America still holds the top scores on most major benchmarks. However, July 27 changes the math, because anyone can then run Kimi K3 for free.

If trust keeps enterprise money in US models, as Cramer argues, the lead holds. If price wins, the race gets very close, very fast.

Read the article at BeInCrypto
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